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Washington Nationals vs. Athletics

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Washington Nationals vs. Athletics" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 60% Washington Nationals vs. Athletics 55% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $623K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Washington Nationals vs. Athletics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.581%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.560%
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics55%
NRFI55%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.548%
O/U 10.547%
Spread -1.543%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, washington nationals vs. athletics stands at 81% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Athletics, scheduled for July 17 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington N…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 81% for "Washington Nationals vs. Athletics".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% Other 19%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $286K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports