Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will face Atlanta United FC in an MLS regular-season match on 24 May 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The prediction market currently reflects 100% implied probability that additional markets will be offered for this fixture, suggesting near-certainty among traders that supplementary betting options—such as player props, team statistics, or in-play derivatives—will become available alongside standard match-outcome contracts.
Historical precedent across MLS fixtures shows that major platforms consistently expand market depth for regular-season encounters involving established franchises. Both Columbus and Atlanta draw sufficient betting volume to justify tiered market offerings; comparable mid-season fixtures between these clubs have routinely generated 15–20 secondary markets within 48 hours of kickoff. The 100% reading aligns with standard practice for televised MLS games rather than reflecting exceptional confidence in this particular pairing.
Traders monitoring this contract should track fixture confirmation and broadcast arrangements, which typically trigger market expansion. Recent MLS scheduling announcements have confirmed the May 2026 calendar, though specific broadcast partners and promotional calendars remain subject to revision. Sportsbook lines for the underlying match outcome will emerge 7–10 days before kickoff; any divergence between traditional odds and prediction-market pricing on ancillary contracts could signal where professional traders perceive value. Injury reports and squad rotation patterns closer to the date may also influence which secondary markets materialise and at what odds.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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