Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 207.5 | 76% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5 | 74% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 16.5 | 74% |
| O/U 210.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 68% |
| O/U 213.5 | 64% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| O/U 216.5 | 55% |
| O/U 218.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 219.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | 47% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) | 46% |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5 | 46% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 221.5 | 45% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 223.5 | 40% |
| O/U 224.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5 | 35% |
| O/U 226.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 229.5 | 28% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 232.5 | 23% |
| Spread -11.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| O/U 235.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
Market context
The Hornets vs. Nets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 76% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed,…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $336K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Hornets vs. Nets on Best Prediction Markets
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