Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 215.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| 1H Moneyline | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the New York Knicks for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals, with New York leading the series 1-0. The market’s 54% YES price for a Cavaliers win sits well below the sportsbook view: ESPN has New York -6.5 with a total of 214.5, and OddsCrowd shows a similar Knicks -6.5 line, implying the home side is a clear favourite. That lines up with analyst coverage around the opener, where pregame previews also leaned towards New York at home. In practice, the contract is asking whether Cleveland can beat both the court advantage and the series context, not just whether this stays close.
Game 1 is the clearest recent comparator: the Knicks won 115-104 in overtime after Jalen Brunson scored 38, while Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland with 29. That result may make the market’s 54% Cavaliers price look slightly out of step with the broader betting picture, since the books are pricing New York as the stronger side by more than a possession. For traders, the main catalysts are late injury or rotation news, any change to the starting line-ups, and whether the market is reacting to a bounce-back spot after Cleveland’s Game 1 loss. ESPN’s pregame listing confirms the 8 p.m. ET tip-off and the 1-0 series score, so any postponement or schedule change would matter, but absent that, the contract should settle on the final score including overtime.
Methodology
This page reviews Cavaliers vs. Knicks across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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