Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 40% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mavericks vs. pacers stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $254K.
Methodology
We track Mavericks vs. Pacers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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