Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 228.5 | 73% |
| O/U 231.5 | 66% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| O/U 237.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 238.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 239.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 240.5 | 46% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 241.5 | 44% |
| O/U 242.5 | 43% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| O/U 244.5 | 40% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| O/U 245.5 | 36% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dejounte Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 247.5 | 32% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 18.5 | 32% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Yves Missi: Points O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Jeremiah Fears: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| O/U 253.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Jeremiah Fears: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| O/U 256.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Trey Murphy III: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Pelicans vs. Jazz. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.
Methodology
This page reviews Pelicans vs. Jazz across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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