Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 17.5 | 97% |
| O/U 23.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 88% |
| Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 82% |
| O/U 33.5 | 82% |
| O/U 34.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 75% |
| O/U 27.5 | 74% |
| O/U 15.5 | 68% |
| O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| O/U 21.5 | 68% |
| O/U 25.5 | 68% |
| O/U 37.5 | 68% |
| O/U 31.5 | 63% |
| O/U 39.5 | 58% |
| O/U 41.5 | 57% |
| O/U 43.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 21+ | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 39% |
| O/U 47.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 13% |
| Commanders vs. Ravens | 8% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of commanders vs. ravens. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00PM ET: If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders". If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $402K.
Methodology
This page reviews Commanders vs. Ravens across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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