Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| IK Start (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IK Start (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
IK Start and Vålerenga Fotball are scheduled to meet in the Norwegian Eliteserien on 25 May 2026. The prediction market currently reflects a 100% implied probability that additional markets will be offered for this fixture, suggesting near-certainty among traders that supplementary betting options beyond standard match outcomes will become available before or during the match window.
Historical precedent in Eliteserien coverage shows that major fixtures—particularly those involving established clubs like Vålerenga—routinely attract expanded market offerings from both traditional sportsbooks and prediction platforms. Matches involving top-tier Norwegian sides have consistently generated ancillary markets covering goal totals, player performance metrics, and in-play betting segments. The 100% probability here reflects the baseline expectation that a fixture of this profile will follow established distribution patterns rather than represent an exceptional outcome.
Traders monitoring this contract should track fixture scheduling changes, team injury announcements, and any broadcaster exclusivity arrangements that might affect market availability. Vålerenga's competitive standing and IK Start's league position as of May 2026 will influence sportsbook appetite for expanded offerings. The settlement window closes at 12:30 UTC on match day, creating a tight window for market confirmation. Any regulatory shifts in Norwegian gambling oversight or platform-specific policy changes could theoretically constrain market proliferation, though such developments remain unlikely given current industry trajectory. Confirmation of match scheduling stability and absence of administrative complications would reinforce the current probability assessment.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets on PolyGram
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