FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

CFR Cluj host FC Argeș Pitești in the Romania SuperLiga Championship Group, with the market currently pricing a YES outcome at 0%, which is far below the consensus implied by match previews and odds. Pre-match analysis across football tips sites is broadly one-sided: FotMob lists CFR’s expected XI and several preview outlets have Cluj favoured, while SportsGambler notes Under 2.5 goals as the stronger total-goals angle. The historical record also points towards the home side: CFR have won 10 of the last 13 meetings between the clubs, scoring 25 goals to Argeș’s 8, and are described as unbeaten in their last ten home matches at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu.

For traders, the main catalyst is the confirmed team news and whether CFR field a near full-strength side. FotMob’s projected line-up has Mihai Popa in goal with Camora, Sheriff Sinyan and Matei Ilie in defence, and a forward line of Alibek Aliev and Luka Zahovic, which fits the general expectation of a controlled home performance. The settlement window is tied to the scheduled 17:30 UTC kick-off, so any late changes to the Championship Group context, rotation, or injury absences matter more than broader form. On the available evidence, analyst consensus leans to CFR Cluj win and low scoring, leaving a 0% YES price notably detached from the cross-platform view.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.