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Japan vs. Iceland

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Japan vs. Iceland" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $306K Liquidity: $472K Closes: 31 May 2026
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Japan vs. Iceland

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Best Prediction Markets Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Best Prediction Markets →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.

Active sub-markets

Japan100% YES0% NO
Draw (Japan vs. Iceland)0% YES100% NO
Iceland0% YES100% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to japan vs. iceland. This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Sunday, May 31, 2026 between Japan and Iceland.

Methodology

This page reviews Japan vs. Iceland across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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