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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 96% Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5 85% O/U 1.5 83% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $350K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.585%
O/U 1.583%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
1st Half O/U 0.576%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 0.572%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.565%
O/U 2.563%
Both Teams to Score63%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.557%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.556%
2nd Half O/U 1.552%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 0.543%
1st Half O/U 1.542%
O/U 3.539%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 1.536%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half35%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)30%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.530%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.529%
2nd Half O/U 2.526%
Both Teams to Score in First Half25%
O/U 4.521%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.521%
1st Half O/U 2.517%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)14%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz O/U 2.514%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1st Half O/U 1.511%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-1.5)10%
O/U 5.510%
Team to Advance5%
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (-2.5)3%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, heart of midlothian fc vs. sk puntigamer sturm graz - more markets stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 28 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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