Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SC Freiburg (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Aston Villa FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| SC Freiburg (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Aston Villa FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Freiburg face Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League final, with the main 90-minute markets split in a way that makes this “more markets” contract notable. Across sportsbooks, Villa are generally around -145 to -160 on the match moneyline, Freiburg sit between +400 and +475, and the draw is roughly +275 to +295. Totals are tighter: most books have 2.5 goals as the main line, but the pricing is mixed, with over around even money and under shaded slightly shorter in some places. By contrast, the prediction market’s current 0% implied yes price is far below the consensus in the betting market and below analyst expectations, which largely lean towards a Villa win and a modestly open game.
Comparable final-stage European ties usually price “more markets” off the same drivers as the main result market: team news, whether the match is expected to reach extra time, and how aggressive line-ups look from the start. Recent previews from CBS Sports, Covers and Flashscore all point to Aston Villa as favourites, with several analysts preferring Villa to win and some also backing goals, including over 2.5 or Villa win and over 1.5 goals. That makes the current 0% yes reading an outlier unless the contract is defined very narrowly around an additional market condition rather than the match outcome itself.
For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed starting XIs, any late fitness changes, and whether the market is settled on 90 minutes only or includes extra time. The final is scheduled for 3:00 pm ET, so pre-match team news matters most; once line-ups are released, any move in Villa’s price or the total should be visible quickly. Coverage from CBS Sports on May 20 noted Villa as the market favourite, while several betting previews also flagged Ollie Watkins as a live scorer candidate, reinforcing the view that the main uncertainty is not who is favoured, but how much goal expectancy is already priced in.
Methodology
This page reviews SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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