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UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 1.5 Rounds 51% O/U 2.5 Rounds 51% Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $356K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 1.5 Rounds51%
O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?50%
Ochoa to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Ochoa at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 202…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 1.5 Rounds at 51% for "UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)".

O/U 1.5 Rounds 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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