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UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% O/U 1.5 Rounds 68% O/U 2.5 Rounds 63% Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil 62% Volume: $151K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
O/U 2.5 Rounds63%
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil62%
Fight to Go the Distance?59%
Fight won by KO/TKO?34%
Young to win by KO/TKO?24%
Fight won by submission?14%
Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO?6%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 77% for "UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $151K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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