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UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic 100% Fight won by submission? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 0% Volume: $539K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic100%
Fight won by submission?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Luciano to win by KO/TKO?0%
Spasic to win by KO/TKO?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: stephanie luciano vs. marina spasic (women's strawweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Stephanie Luciano" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August …

Live Data & Statistics

SLUCIANO 00 MSPASI Final

The Polymarket order book prices Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic 100% Other 0%

The order book shows 100% YES / 0% NO for this match. Compared to ESPN-listed sportsbook lines, Polymarket typically reflects faster market adjustment since participants are self-selected sophisticated traders. Trading volume: $539K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic… on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

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