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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% O/U 1.5 Rounds 66% Fight to Go the Distance? 62% O/U 2.5 Rounds 62% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds73%
O/U 1.5 Rounds66%
Fight to Go the Distance?62%
O/U 2.5 Rounds62%
Fight won by decision?62%
Decision or Draw62%
Fight won by KO/TKO?32%
Ends before Round 3?31%
Demopoulos in Round 127%
Demopoulos in Round 227%
Demopoulos in Round 327%
Jauregui in Round 127%
Jauregui in Round 227%
Jauregui in Round 327%
Fight won by submission?26%
Demopoulos to win by KO/TKO?25%
Jauregui to win by KO/TKO?22%
Ends before Round 2?18%
Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui13%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: vanessa demopoulos vs. yazmin jauregui (women's strawweight, prelims) stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Vanessa Demopoulos" if Vanessa Demopoulos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yazmin Jauregui at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barc…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 73% for "UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $88K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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