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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 91% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 73% Georgia O/U 0.5 72% Ukraine O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Georgia vs. Ukraine - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.591%
2nd Half O/U 0.573%
Georgia O/U 0.572%
Ukraine O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.571%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score53%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Ukraine (-4.5)50%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 2.550%
1st Half O/U 4.549%
Georgia O/U 5.549%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Ukraine O/U 5.548%
2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 2.548%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 2.547%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 3.546%
O/U 2.545%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 0.542%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 0.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
Ukraine O/U 4.537%
Ukraine O/U 1.535%
Georgia O/U 1.534%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 3.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
O/U 3.523%
Both Teams to Score in First Half18%
Georgia (-1.5)14%
Ukraine (-1.5)14%
Ukraine 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Georgia 2nd Half O/U 1.513%
Georgia O/U 2.512%
Ukraine O/U 2.512%
O/U 4.510%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Ukraine 1st Half O/U 1.59%
Georgia O/U 4.58%
Georgia 1st Half O/U 1.57%
Georgia (-2.5)5%
Ukraine (-2.5)5%
O/U 5.54%
Ukraine O/U 3.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Georgia O/U 3.53%
Georgia (-3.5)1%
Ukraine (-3.5)1%
Georgia (-4.5)1%
Georgia (-5.5)1%
Ukraine (-5.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to georgia vs. ukraine - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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