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Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

O/U 0.5 95% Sweden O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 82% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $746K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Sweden O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
Poland O/U 0.575%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
Both Teams to Score63%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.561%
O/U 2.559%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.553%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Sweden O/U 1.551%
Sweden (-4.5)50%
Poland (-4.5)50%
Sweden (-5.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 1.549%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 3.549%
2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 2.548%
Poland 1st Half O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Poland 1st Half O/U 0.545%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 2.544%
Poland O/U 5.542%
1st Half O/U 4.541%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
Poland O/U 1.539%
O/U 3.536%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
Poland 1st Half O/U 3.527%
Sweden O/U 2.524%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.524%
Sweden (-1.5)23%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
2nd Half O/U 2.522%
Poland O/U 4.522%
O/U 4.519%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.516%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 1.516%
Poland O/U 2.515%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
Poland (-1.5)13%
Poland 1st Half O/U 1.511%
Sweden (-2.5)10%
O/U 5.58%
Sweden O/U 3.58%
Poland (-5.5)7%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 2.57%
1st Half O/U 3.55%
Poland (-2.5)4%
Sweden O/U 5.54%
Poland O/U 3.54%
Sweden (-3.5)3%
O/U 6.53%
Sweden O/U 4.52%
Poland (-3.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, sweden vs. poland - more markets stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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