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Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 26% Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 0 Aston Villa 19% Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa 13% Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Aston Villa 13% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $824K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
26% 74% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
26% 74% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score26%
Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 0 Aston Villa19%
Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 1 Aston Villa13%
Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 0 Aston Villa13%
Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 0 Aston Villa12%
Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 1 Aston Villa9%
Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 1 Aston Villa9%
Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 2 Aston Villa4%
Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 2 Aston Villa3%
Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 2 Aston Villa3%
Paris Saint-Germain 1 - 3 Aston Villa1%
Paris Saint-Germain 2 - 3 Aston Villa1%
Paris Saint-Germain 3 - 3 Aston Villa1%
Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 0 Aston Villa0%
Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 1 Aston Villa0%
Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 2 Aston Villa0%
Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 3 Aston Villa0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, paris saint-germain vs. aston villa - exact score stands at 26% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming UEFA Super Cup game between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa, scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of t…

Methodology

This page reviews Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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