Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs EDward Gaming (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-9.5) vs EDward Gaming (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 53% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 35.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A. This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gamin…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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