Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 69% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 68% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 58% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 57% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 52% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 52% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 49% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 47% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 47% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 46% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 46% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% |
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 44% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 36% |
| Map 1 Winner | 35% |
| Map 2 Winner | 35% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 35% |
| Match Winner | 30% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to valorant: giantx vs fnatic (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between GIANTX and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX"…
Methodology
We track Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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