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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 1 Winner 56% Map 2 Winner 56% Volume: $213K Liquidity: $317K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 2 Winner56%
Match Winner55%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.553%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.548%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)40%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)39%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)38%
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)32%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 62% YES probability for Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between Sentinels and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 16 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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