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Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 76% O/U 3.5 Games 72% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 63% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $430K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.576%
O/U 3.5 Games72%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.563%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)51%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)49%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)46%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)46%
Map 4 Winner45%
Map 1 Winner42%
Map 2 Winner41%
Map 3 Winner40%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Match Winner33%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.532%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.525%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.523%
Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)22%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: team vitality vs 100 thieves (bo5) - vct champions playoffs stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and 100 Thieves in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:00 A…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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