Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Maxx Crosby, the Las Vegas Raiders' defensive end, remains under contract through the 2025 season. The market resolves to the Raiders by default if he has not officially joined another franchise by 31 August 2026, reflecting the baseline assumption that he either stays in Las Vegas or the market window closes before a move materialises. At 0% implied probability across prediction markets, traders are pricing near-certainty that Crosby will not transfer to a listed alternative team within the settlement period.

Comparable edge-rusher movements offer instructive precedent. When Khalil Mack departed Oakland in 2018, the trade occurred mid-season; when Von Miller left Denver in 2022, he signed with Buffalo in November. Most defensive end relocations happen either during the off-season (February–April) or via mid-season trades. Crosby would need to be released, traded, or become a free agent between September 2025 and August 2026 for a move to materialise. The 0% reading suggests the market assigns minimal probability to any of these scenarios occurring within the window.

Traders should monitor Raiders front-office statements during the 2025 season and any contract restructuring discussions. The Raiders' 2026 salary-cap position and defensive-line depth will signal whether they retain Crosby or explore trade options. Recent reporting from NFL Network and ESPN has not indicated imminent movement, though franchise uncertainty could shift calculus. The settlement deadline of 31 August 2026 is notably tight—most off-season transactions conclude by mid-March, leaving little room for late-summer signings to count.

Methodology

This page reviews Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.