Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, remains active in the division following his loss to Sean O'Malley in March 2024. His next opponent has not yet been officially announced by the UFC with a scheduled date, leaving the market open to multiple contenders within the 135-pound ranks. Yan's recent record and ranking position make him a fixture for high-profile matchups, though the UFC's scheduling decisions and fighter availability will ultimately determine which opponent receives the official announcement first.
Historical precedent suggests markets on Yan's next opponent should track closely with UFC announcement patterns. When top-ranked bantamweights become available, the organisation typically schedules bouts within 60 to 90 days of public confirmation. Comparable markets on other elite fighters show that official UFC announcements—those paired with a specific event date—tend to resolve within 4 to 6 weeks of the initial news cycle, though delays occasionally extend this window. The specificity required here (official announcement plus scheduled date) narrows the field considerably compared to speculation-based markets.
Traders should monitor UFC Fight Night and pay-per-view event announcements throughout 2025 and into 2026, as these will determine when Yan receives a formal matchup. Recent reporting from MMA Junkie and ESPN's MMA coverage indicates the bantamweight division remains fluid, with multiple contenders competing for title shots. Changes to the championship picture, injuries to potential opponents, and the UFC's event calendar will all influence timing. The resolution window extends through end-2026, providing substantial runway for an announcement that may not materialise until late in that period.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Who will Petr Yan fight next? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →