Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Dallas beat Chicago 99-89 at Wintrust Arena on Wednesday night, so the contract has now already moved from an open pre-match question into a settled result once the game completed. That final margin matters for how to read the pre-game pricing: Chicago had entered with an injury-hit rotation, while Dallas had the healthier and more productive lineup, which aligned with the market eventually getting the result right rather than signalling a true coin flip. ESPN’s preview had Dallas on a 2-2 record against Chicago’s 3-1, but the on-court evidence pointed to the Wings’ edge in scoring depth and shot creation.

For context, Polymarket’s companion game-total market and the cross-platform consensus were both leaning towards a Dallas-friendly script, with the Wings’ recent offensive form and Chicago’s absences driving the gap. Fox Sports’ box score shows Dallas shot 50.0% from the field and won the rebounding and assist battle, while Jessica Shepard’s triple-double was the kind of catalyst that tends to force late-line movement when sportsbooks and prediction markets are both repricing live form. The key dependency for any similar contract is usually late injury confirmation: Chicago were already without multiple rotation pieces, and any further availability news would have been the main reason for divergence between sportsbook odds, market pricing and analyst projections.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.