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Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 68% Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings 61% Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.5 55% Spread -2.5 54% Volume: $92K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.568%
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings61%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.555%
Spread -2.554%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.554%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.554%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.554%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.553%
Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.552%
Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.550%
O/U 185.550%
Spread -3.550%
O/U 186.548%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.548%
Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 16.548%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.545%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.545%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 25.543%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 23.543%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.543%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.539%
Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.538%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.528%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 14.526%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.522%
Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.522%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.519%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of indiana fever vs. dallas wings. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 20 at 8:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 at 68% for "Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings".

Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.

Methodology

We track Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

Sports