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Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun

Live odds for "Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun 71% O/U 172.5 56% Spread -5.5 55% O/U 174.5 51% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $161K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun71%
O/U 172.556%
Spread -5.555%
O/U 174.551%
Spread -6.549%
Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 17.547%
Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.535%
Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.534%
Diamond Miller: Rebounds O/U 2.533%
Kelsey Plum: Rebounds O/U 1.532%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.532%
Diamond Miller: Points O/U 11.531%
DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.530%
DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.530%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.528%
Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.528%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.526%
Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 18.526%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.525%
Leïla Lacan: Rebounds O/U 2.523%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.522%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.520%

Market context

The Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun prediction market currently prices this outcome at 71% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 7 at 7:30PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connec…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun at 71% for "Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun".

Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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