Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Toronto Tempo face the Chicago Sky in a WNBA regular-season matchup scheduled for 27 May at 8:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring the following day. The prediction market currently reflects 100% implied probability for a Toronto victory, a stark divergence from typical sportsbook pricing on WNBA games, where even heavily favoured teams rarely exceed 80–85% moneyline probability. This extreme skew warrants scrutiny, particularly given that the Tempo and Sky represent relatively evenly matched franchises in the 2025 season context, with neither team commanding the historical dominance that would justify such lopsided odds.

WNBA regular-season games rarely cancel outright, though postponements occur occasionally due to venue conflicts or weather. The settlement mechanism—resolving 50-50 in the event of cancellation with no rescheduled date—creates asymmetric risk for traders positioned on either outcome. Historical precedent suggests postponements in the WNBA typically result in makeup games within 10–14 days, keeping the market open rather than forcing a split resolution. Traders should monitor official WNBA communications and venue schedules through 27 May for any scheduling disruptions.

The 100% implied probability likely reflects either thin liquidity in this particular market or a data-entry anomaly rather than genuine consensus. Major sportsbooks including DraftKings and FanDuel typically price WNBA games with meaningful two-way probability distributions. Comparing this contract against live moneyline odds from established operators will clarify whether the extreme reading represents genuine market conviction or a technical artefact requiring correction.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.