Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -12.5 | 55% |
| Laura Juskaite: Assists O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Spread -13.5 | 52% |
| Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 174.5 | 49% |
| A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 | 48% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 48% |
| Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 175.5 | 46% |
| A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| O/U 176.5 | 44% |
| Kiki Rice: Points O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| Spread -15.5 | 43% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Laura Juskaite: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Kiki Rice: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| O/U 177.5 | 42% |
| Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 178.5 | 39% |
| O/U 179.5 | 36% |
| A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces | 12% |
Market context
Market consensus: 55% chance of toronto tempo vs. las vegas aces. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 28 at 10:00PM ET: If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →