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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Five-platform snapshot of "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 167.5 59% O/U 168.5 57% O/U 169.5 54% O/U 170.5 52% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $263K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 167.559%
O/U 168.557%
O/U 169.554%
O/U 170.552%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Spread -6.549%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.548%
Spread -7.546%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.546%
Spread -8.542%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.536%
Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.536%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 10.535%
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.532%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 18.532%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.530%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.530%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.530%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.530%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.529%
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces28%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.528%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.528%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.526%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.526%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.526%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.525%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.525%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.525%
Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.524%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.523%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, washington mystics vs. las vegas aces stands at 59% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 167.5 at 59% for "Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces".

O/U 167.5 59% Other 41%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.

Methodology

This page reviews Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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