Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of us open, qualification wta: linda fruhvirtova vs carson branstine. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Fruhvirtova and Carson Branstine in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Th…
Methodology
We track US Open, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Carson Branstine across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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