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Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic 85% Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 1 Winner 79% Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 2 Winner 75% Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Match O/U 21.5 62% Volume: $233K Liquidity: $187K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic85%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 1 Winner79%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 2 Winner75%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Match O/U 21.562%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set Handicap +/-1.561%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Match O/U 22.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Match O/U 23.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Total Sets: O/U 2.532%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic Set Handicap +/-1.59%

Market context

Market consensus: 85% chance of wimbledon wta: jelena ostapenko vs antonia ruzic. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Antonia Ruzic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets