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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Five-platform snapshot of "Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Completed Match 50% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner 50% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $63K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Completed Match50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Game Spread +/-3.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida19%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.510%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner1%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.51%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.51%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of curitiba: joao lucas da silva vs matheus pucinelli de almeida. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

We track Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli d… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets