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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria

Five-platform snapshot of "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria 100% Completed Match 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $545K Liquidity: $516K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria100%
Completed Match100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 21.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 2 Winner0%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, japan open tennis championships, qualification: adolfo vallejo vs jaime faria stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Jaime Faria in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at …

Methodology

We track Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets