Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 49% |
| ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers | 3% |
Market context
Market consensus: 50% chance of itf m25 east lansing men: justin roberts vs tyler bowers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Roberts and Tyler Bowers in the ITF M25 East Lansing Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market…
Methodology
We track ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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