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Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 21.5 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $221K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 21.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 Winner100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 22.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Match O/U 23.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela0%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 1 Winner0%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to bastad: noma noha akugue vs irene burillo escorihuela. This market refers to the tennis match between Noma Noha Akugue and Irene Burillo Escorihuela in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noma Noha…

Methodology

We track Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

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