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China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian

Five-platform snapshot of "China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian 100% Completed Match 100% China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 2 Winner 100% China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $166K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian100%
Completed Match100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 2 Winner100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Match O/U 21.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Match O/U 22.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Match O/U 23.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 1 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 1 O/U 8.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 1 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 1 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set 2 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set Handicap +/-1.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Set Handicap +/-1.50%
China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian Game Spread +/-6.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to china open, qualification: andrea lazaro garcia vs jialin tian. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Jialin Tian in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track China Open, Qualification: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jialin Tian across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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