Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

All Gamers and TYLOO will contest the third-place playoff match in the China Evolution Series Act 2 for Valorant, scheduled for 30 May 2026 at 05:00 ET. The fixture determines seeding and prize distribution in what remains a developing regional competitive landscape. The current 100% implied probability on the YES side (All Gamers victory) reflects either exceptional confidence in the favourites or potential liquidity constraints on the market, as sportsbook operators typically maintain tighter margins on regional Valorant fixtures. Cross-platform comparison data remains sparse for Chinese domestic Valorant playoffs, limiting conventional odds-convergence analysis.

Historical precedent from China Evolution Series Act 1 and comparable regional tournaments suggests third-place matches carry unpredictable outcomes, particularly when teams face psychological variance after semifinal defeats. TYLOO's roster composition and recent LAN performance against All Gamers—if available in tournament records—would typically anchor baseline expectations. The 100% probability diverges sharply from standard prediction-market behaviour for competitive matches with genuine uncertainty, suggesting either incomplete market participation or strong directional conviction from early traders.

Traders should monitor official tournament communications regarding team roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, and schedule adherence. The 7-day resolution window creates material risk if technical issues or administrative delays emerge. Recent Chinese esports tournament coverage from platforms tracking Evolution Series fixtures would clarify whether either team has published preparation statements or roster changes ahead of the match date.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.