# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming’s next upload will be judged on its first 24-hour view count, and the market is currently pricing **0% YES** for the contract’s target bracket. That is an extreme reading for a channel that has repeatedly shown the ability to produce eight-figure day-one totals on major MrBeast uploads, but this market is specifically about the gaming channel, which is smaller and more schedule-dependent than the main MrBeast feed. The latest channel messaging still points to a regular Saturday noon ET cadence for MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming uploads, which matters because timing alone can change first-day views materially.[10]

Historical comparables suggest traders should anchor on how gaming-channel launches behave relative to flagship MrBeast videos, not on the main channel’s viral outliers. A recent MrBeast Gaming upload, “Press This Button To Win $250,000”, has 22 million views after about two months, showing the gaming channel can still clear large numbers even without the main channel’s scale.[6] By contrast, mainstream MrBeast uploads routinely reach vastly higher totals, so cross-platform comparison with sportsbook-style pricing would normally leave the gaming channel at a discount unless there is a major collaboration or unusually strong packaging. The 0% implied probability therefore looks less like a forecast of no views and more like a statement that the market’s upper bracket is judged unreachable.

The main catalysts are the upload schedule, title/thumbnail strength, and any sign that the video was delayed or moved off the usual Saturday release. There is also a live dependency on MrBeast’s broader production slate: his recent Beast Games Season 2 rollout on Prime Video keeps the MrBeast brand visible across platforms, but that does not automatically translate into gaming-channel lift.[1][7][9] A delay can compress the opening 24 hours or push the video into a weaker traffic window, while a surprise collab or heavily promoted challenge could pull in more casual viewers. For now, the cross-platform picture is simple: prediction-market pricing is effectively saying the crowd sees the contract’s top bracket as a long shot, and there is no obvious sportsbook-style consensus in the supplied sources to contradict that.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.