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Highest temperature in Paris on May 26?

Five-platform snapshot of "Highest temperature in Paris on May 26?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $152K Liquidity: $395K Closes: 26 May 2026
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Highest temperature in Paris on May 26?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Best Prediction Markets Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Best Prediction Markets →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Best Prediction Markets →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.

Active sub-markets

25°C or below0% YES100% NO
26°C0% YES100% NO
27°C0% YES100% NO
28°C0% YES100% NO
29°C0% YES100% NO
30°C0% YES100% NO

Market context

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Paris on May 26? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?
Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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