# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first two days of availability, with the market tracking whether that 48-hour total reaches specified thresholds. The 0% implied probability suggests traders currently expect the video will underperform historical benchmarks for the channel, or that insufficient clarity exists around which specific upload qualifies as "the latest" at settlement time.

MrBeast's recent uploads have consistently exceeded 50 million views within 48 hours, with several breaching 100 million. His December 2024 video "I Gave Away $1,000,000" accumulated approximately 90 million views in two days, whilst earlier high-performing content regularly hit 80–120 million in the same window. The 0% probability reading appears misaligned with this track record unless traders are pricing in either a significant departure from his upload schedule, a notably lower-performing video concept, or ambiguity around the settlement criteria itself. Cross-platform comparison data from YouTube analytics forums and creator tracking sites like Social Blade show MrBeast maintains the most consistent 48-hour performance among top-tier creators.

The settlement window extends to June 2026, affording considerable time for multiple uploads to occur. Traders should monitor whether MrBeast maintains his upload cadence and whether any announced format changes, platform shifts, or algorithmic changes to YouTube's recommendation system materially affect view velocity. Recent industry reporting on YouTube's creator economics (per Variety, May 2025) noted sustained advertiser demand for high-view-count content, supporting continued performance incentives for established creators like MrBeast.

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 2? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Best Prediction Markets?

Zero. Best Prediction Markets routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.