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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Best Prediction Markets.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) 100% Volume: $130K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: EAC (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-12.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+12.5)0%

Market context

Fnatic’s quarter-final against Esport Academy Copenhagen is a best-of-three in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, and the market is effectively pricing a near-certain fnatic win. That sits in line with the broader market picture: Robinhood’s live event page has fnatic around 63¢ versus 42¢ for EAC, while Strafe shows a 100% user vote for fnatic, so there is no meaningful split between the crowd view and the external prediction-market price. The match was scheduled for 17:00 UTC on 4 August, with live scoreboards and fixture listings indicating it has started and reached a 2-0 result for fnatic on at least one tracking site, which would make the 100% reading unsurprising if the market is still open before official settlement.[2][3][4]

For context, the current price should be read against both team strength and tournament format. Liquipedia lists fnatic as a much higher-profile side than EAC in the CS2 ecosystem, while EAC’s match history on Liquipedia shows a near-even lifetime win rate and a relatively limited tournament record, which is consistent with a mismatch in a quarter-final BO3.[7][10][17] BO3 volatility still matters, but in practice the team with the stronger roster and stronger form usually attracts the kind of lopsided pricing now seen here; the only realistic source of divergence would be if an official result, schedule change, or unusual settlement condition emerges before the 23:00 UTC window closes.[18][4]

Traders should watch for the organiser’s official match page, bracket updates, and any note about forfeits, technical pauses, or replay rules, because the contract resolves 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[3][15] A separate risk is settlement timing: Robinhood says event resolution is usually within an hour of the event’s resolution, so a live result does not always mean immediate market closure.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen … on Best Prediction Markets

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