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Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) 100% Volume: $56K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Galorys have already beaten Keyd 2–0 in this BetBoom Storm group-stage meeting, and live-score pages show the match finished at 23:15 UTC on 9 August. That means the contract’s outcome is no longer a forecasting exercise in practice: the real-world result has been settled on the map server, even though the market’s crowd-implied price is still shown at 100% YES. [1][17]

For context, the best comparison is the pair’s earlier BetBoom Storm meeting in May 2026, which also finished 2–0 to Keyd and had bookmaker pricing that implied Galorys were the stronger side but not an overwhelming one. One archived odds page put Galorys around 1.40–1.43 and Keyd around 2.65–2.75, while Strafe’s user vote in this week’s rematch leaned heavily towards Galorys at 84.6%; that mix of moderate sportsbook favouritism and stronger crowd conviction is broadly consistent with the market still trading as a one-sided Galorys position before settlement. [2][7][17]

The main catalysts for traders were always scheduling and official result confirmation rather than competitive uncertainty. Tournament trackers listed this as a Round 4 BO3 in the BetBoom Storm group stage, with some pages showing the fixture as live and others as not yet started shortly before it was played, so any mismatch between market status and broadcast or bracket updates would have been the key thing to watch; once the result is posted by the tournament and score-tracking sites, a market set to resolve on the match winner should follow that official outcome. [3][6][8][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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