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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 99% Match Winner 80% Game 2 Winner 56% Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) 55% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $239K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner99%
Match Winner80%
Game 2 Winner56%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)55%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?55%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage23%

Market context

The Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 99% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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