Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
DN SOOPers Challengers against T1 Academy is a best-of-three in the LCK Challengers League’s Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, and the current market at 0% YES sits far below other price signals. Polymarket’s own match page describes T1 Esports Academy as the clear market leader, while third-party odds boards also lean towards T1 Academy, with Bo3 listing T1 at around 1.31 and Betmaster pricing the Academy side as favourite as well.[2][10][12]
That gap is easier to read against the recent head-to-head and group context. The teams met earlier in the 2026 season, with T1 Academy beating DN SOOPers Challengers 2-1 in April and 2-0 in January, while a September-style upset narrative is not supported by the available form data.[9][8][4] Liquipedia’s round-by-round standings also show T1 Academy among the stronger Challenge Group sides, whereas DN SOOPers Challengers have been lower in the table and have struggled for match wins in the section.[6] For comparison, a similar market for their May meeting was also built around T1 Academy being the shorter price across matchup boards, so the direction of travel has been consistent even if the exact market-implied probability here is extreme.[15][19]
For traders, the main catalysts are whether the series actually starts on schedule and whether the participating roster listing changes before the posted window. Sofascore and other fixture boards still show the match scheduled for 6 August UTC, but the different timing conversions and the lack of live volume on the market mean any postponement, reformatting, or official schedule update could matter quickly.[1][3][14] If the game is not played or is delayed beyond seven days, this contract resolves 50-50 rather than to a team winner, so confirmation from the league calendar is as important as team strength.[2][20]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LC… on Best Prediction Markets
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