Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | 100% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 95% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 84% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 78% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 75% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 74% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 74% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 52% |
| Game 4 Winner | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 47% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 42% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 42% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 34% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3? | 34% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 3? | 34% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 3? | 26% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 25% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 23% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 23% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 20% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 1% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: g2 esports vs movistar koi (bo5) - lec playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs on Best Prediction Markets
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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