Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

Market context

100 Thieves’ match with Cloud9 in VCT Americas Stage 2 is a best-of-three group-stage fixture, and the contract’s current **0% YES** crowd price sits well below the public pricing on match-winner markets. Live trading on esports books and forecast sites points the other way: BO3 model prices on bo3.gg have 100 Thieves around **1.36–1.36** to win outright, while Strafe’s user vote is 100% for 100 Thieves, suggesting a market that sees them as the stronger side despite the prediction contract being priced as if a Cloud9 win is virtually impossible.[2][4][5][11]

That gap is easier to read against recent form and head-to-head history. Strafe lists 100 Thieves as winning four of their last five and ranking around No. 14 globally, while Cloud9 have won one of five; the teams have met nine times with 100 Thieves leading 5-4, and their most recent meeting on 13 February ended 2-1 to 100 Thieves.[2][3] By contrast, earlier 2025 playoff coverage showed Cloud9 taking a decisive 2-0 over 100 Thieves, which matters because these teams have produced both one-sided and close series, and BO3 volatility is high enough that map swings can override simple win-loss recency.[13]

The main catalysts for traders are operational rather than strategic: whether the match is actually played, whether start time shifts again, and whether any broadcast or schedule notes alter the best-of-three. The Stage 2 schedule listed this as a Friday Omega group match in Los Angeles, alongside the rest of the group slate, with official Americas channels carrying the event, so confirmation from VCT Americas rather than third-party trackers is the key dependency if there are delays or rescheduling issues.[14][15] If the series is postponed beyond the contract’s seven-day window, cancelled, or abandoned without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50 rather than either team.[0]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.