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Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $185K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.599%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.599%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.599%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.599%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)50%
Match Winner34%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

All Gamers face TEC Esports in the upper bracket final of VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins on 12 August, with the winner advancing directly to the main event. The best-of-three match is scheduled for 4:00 AM ET, placing it during early morning hours in Western markets but within standard Chinese competitive windows. The 100% implied probability on this contract reflects settlement mechanics rather than confidence in either team's victory; the market resolves 50-50 only if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie—outcomes with minimal historical precedent in VCT fixtures.

Chinese Valorant's competitive structure has stabilised significantly since 2023, with fixture cancellations now rare outside major infrastructure disruptions. Previous VCT China play-in stages have maintained scheduling reliability, though occasional technical delays of 2–4 hours have occurred without affecting match completion. Both All Gamers and TEC Esports have competed in recent Chinese regional qualifiers; tracking roster changes and recent scrim results provides the most reliable indicator of match outcome, as public scouting reports on these teams remain limited outside Chinese-language esports media.

Traders should monitor official VCT China social channels and team announcements through 11 August for any schedule shifts or player availability issues. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 24–48 hours before play. The settlement window closes at 14:10 UTC on 12 August, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result verification. No meaningful divergence exists between prediction-market pricing and available sportsbook lines, as Western bookmakers offer limited coverage of Chinese regional qualifiers; the 100% probability reflects the binary nature of the resolution criteria rather than market consensus on team strength.

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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