Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs Sentinels (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs Sentinels (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs Sentinels (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-8.5) vs Sentinels (+8.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs Sentinels (+7.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs Sentinels (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs G2 Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
Market context
G2 Esports meet Sentinels in a best-of-three VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega match, a pairing that has usually tilted towards G2 in recent head-to-heads. Strafe lists G2 at 69% to win, with its users even more bullish at 68.7%, while this market’s 0% YES price for G2 is an obvious outlier rather than a consensus read.[1][9] Across comparable meetings, G2 have won 8 of the last 12 against Sentinels, including the most recent series on 15 November 2025, which helps explain why most public match models have leaned G2 rather than treating this as a coin flip.[1]
For traders, the key catalysts are schedule integrity and any official match-status updates, because the contract can still resolve to 50-50 if the game is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or otherwise never produces a winner under the settlement rules.[9] Rivalry and The Spike both place the fixture in Group Omega on the published VCT Americas Stage 2 programme, but there is a small timing discrepancy between listings, so confirmation from the organiser’s broadcast or bracket page matters more than secondary calendars.[7][10][13] Recent reporting from Bo3.gg also notes that both G2 and Sentinels have already posted group-stage wins in this event, which matters because seeding and elimination risk can affect how aggressively each side plays once the series starts.[4]
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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